Rio Grande Basin Water Balance Model Version 2.0

Versions

Version: 2.0
Source Code: Github Repository
Engine: Python 3.8

Introduction

The Water Balance Model is a simple mathemathical hydrologic accountability model for the Middle Rio Grande Basin. The surface study area covers a section of the Middle Rio Grande between San Marcial Gauges (USGS 08358400 and USGS 08358300) and the Caballo Reservoir gauge (USGS 08362500)[1]. Additionally, it covers groundwater allocation for the Agricultural and Urban sectors over three groundwater nodes: Mesilla Alluvial (shallow aquifer), Mesilla Deep-Intermediate and the Hueco Bolson aquifer.

The predefined climate scenarios were obtained from the “Downscaled CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate and Hydrology Projections” archive. Temperature and precipitation timeseries were constructed by spatially averaging the monthly 1/8-degree gridded BCSD values across the Elephant Butte and Caballo sub-watersheds [1].

Reservoir releases from Elephant Butte Reservoir and Caballo are based on the 2008 Operating Agreement for the Rio Grande Project established by the Bureau of Reclamation.

A static full allocation target is used to drive the use of groundwater when the surface supply cannot meet demand.

[1] Holmes, Robyn, 2022
"Water Woes Worsen: Middle Rio Grande Reservoir Modeling Projects Declining Water Availability Under Climate Change Simulations",
Open Access Master's Thesis, Michigan Technological University, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.37099/mtu.dc.etdr/1351

[2] Townsend, N. T.; and Gutzler, D. S., 2020
Adaptation of Climate Model Projections of Streamflow to Account for Upstream Anthropogenic Impairments.
JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association
https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12851

[3] Holmes R. N., Mayer A., Gutzler D. S., Garnica Chavira L.
Asessing the Effects of Climate Change on Middle Rio Grande Surface Water Supplies Using a Simple Water Balance Reservoir Model
AMS Journal of Earth Interactions. 2022. (In Press)

Model Composition

  • Downscaled CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate and Hydrology Projections (San Marcial Inflows).
  • Temperature and precipitation timeseries across Elephant Butte and Caballo sub-watersheds.
  • 1 streamgauge inflow node San Marcial above Elephant Butte Reservoir
  • 1 reservoir storage release node below Caballo Reservoir
  • 3 groundwater nodes (Mesilla Alluvial, Mesilla Deep-Intermediate and Hueco Bolson)
  • 2008 Operating Agreement release rules
  • Urban and Agricultural comsumptive use nodes
  • Static full allocation target per year

Input Parameters

Parameter Label Description Units
CabInitStorageV2 Initial Caballo Storage Volume Caballo Reservoir Storage on Starting Year Acre-Feet
CabLandAreaV2 Caballo Watershed Area Land drainage area for El Caballo Reservoir Acres
CabPrV2_mmday Average Daily Precipitation at Caballo Reservoir Average daily precipitation at Caballo Reservoir per year Millimetres
CabTasV2_degC Average Temperature at Caballo Reservoir Average annual temperature at Caballo Reservoir. Celsius
EBInitStorageV2 Initial EB Storage Volume Elephant Butte Storage on Starting Year Acre-Feet
EBLandAreaV2 Elephant Butte Watershed Area Land drainage area for Elephant Butte Reservoir Acres
EBMaxV2 EB Maximum Storage Elephant Butte Maximum storage volume Acre-Feet
EBMinV2 EB Minimum Storage Elephant Butte reservoir minimum storage volume Acre-Feet
EBPrV2_mmday Average Precipitation at Elephant Butte Reservoir Average daily precipitation at Elephant Butte Reservoir per year. Millimetres
EBTasV2_degC Average Temperature at Elephant Butte Reservoir Average annual temperature at Elephant Butte Reservoir. Celsius
EndYearV2 Ending Year Ending year of simulation run year
EvapCoeffV2 Future Evaporation Coefficient Evaporation coefficient for future projections n/a
EvapIntV2 Evaporation intercept Evaporation intercept n/a
FullAllocationV2 Full Allocation Full allocation of water to be released from Caballo for downstream water users as defined by the Rio Grande Project Operating Agreement 2008 Acre-Feet
HBAgBaselineV2 Base Agriculture Allocation from Hueco Bolson Base Water allocation from Hueco Bolson to the agricultural sector Thousands of Acre-Feet
HBNetRechargeV2 HB Net Recharge Hueco Bolson aquifer natural water recharge Thousands of Acre-Feet
HBRFCoeffV2 HB RF Coefficient Return flow coefficient for pumping for agricultural use in Hueco Bolson aquifer n/a
HBSWIrrBaselineV2 HB Surface Irrigation Baseline Baseline volume of water extracted from Hueco Bolson for surface irrigation Thousands of Acre-Feet
HBUnderallocAgFracV2 HB Agricultural + Other Fraction of Underallocation Fraction of underallocation of surface water replaced with groundwater overall from Hueco Bolson aquiferr percent
HBUnderallocFractionV2 HB Fraction of Underallocation Proportion of underllocation at the Hueco Bolson percent
HBUnderallocUrbanFracV2 HB Urban + Other Fraction of Underallocation Fraction of underallocation of surface water replaced with groundwater for urban use from Hueco Bolson aquifer percent
HBUrbBaselineV2 Base Urban + Other Allocation from Hueco Bolson Base Water allocation from Hueco Bolson to the urban sector Thousands of Acre-Feet
HistoricEvapV2 Average Evaporation at Elephant Butte Average historical evaporation at Elephant Butte reservoir between 1950 and 1999 Millimetres
HistoricTasV2 Average Temperature at Elephant Butte Average historical temperature at Elephant Butte reservoir between 1950 and 1999 Celsius
MAARechargeCoeffArtV2 MAA Recharge Coefficient Return flow coefficient for surface water for agricultural use in Mesilla Alluvial aquifer n/a
MIDAFractionAgV2 Agricultural Fraction from MIDA Mesilla Intermediate-Deep Aquifer proportion allocated for the agricultural sector percent
MIDAFractionUrbanV2 Urban Fraction from MIDA Mesilla Intermediate-Deep Aquifer proportion allocated for the urban sector percent
OPConst1V2 Maximum Release Volume OP #1 Maximum desired reservoir release volume n/a
OPConst2V2 Operating Agreement Coefficient #2 Percent of San Marcial flow that will be released in low volume years when the maxium desired reservoir release volume is not possible n/a
OPConst3V2 Operating Agreement Coefficient #3 Percent of previous year's reservoir volume to be released in low volume years when the maxium desired reservoir release volume is not possible n/a
RunoffCoeffV2 Runoff coefficient Proportion of precipitation on land that ultimately reaches streams often with dissolved or suspended material n/a
SanMarV2_cfs Inflows at San Marcial Gauges Upstream Water supply to Elephant Butte Reservoir through San Marcial Gauges. cubic foot per second
StartYearV2 Starting Year Starting year of simulation run year


Output Variables

Variable Label Description Units
CabReleaseV2_af Caballo Reservoir Releases Annual surface water volume released for regional consumption from Caballo Reservoir located upstream of the city of Las Cruces and the Elephant Butte irrigation district, release volumes are directed by the 2008 Rio Grande Project Operating Agreement Acre-Feet
CabROV2_af Caballo Basin Runoff Basin runoff to Caballo Reservoir Acre-Feet
CabStorageV2_af Caballo Reservoir Storage Average volume of water stored at Caballo Reservoir by year Acre-Feet
CabSurfAV2_ac Caballo Lake Surface Area Superficial surface area covered with water at El Caballo Reservoir Acres
EBStorageV2_af Elephant Butte Reservoir Storage Elephant Butte reservoir storage volume at end of year Acre-Feet
EBSurfAV2_ac Elephant Butte Lake Surface Area Superficial surface area covered with water at Elephant Butte Reservoir Acres
ExcessV2_af Water Excess from Elephant Butte Reservoir Yearly excess of water spilled from Elephant Butte Reservoir Acre-Feet
FullAllocationV2 Full Allocation Full allocation from Caballo Reservor to downstream users according to the 2008 Rio Grande Project Operating Agreement Acre-Feet
HBAgCumV2 Hueco Bolson Agricultural Cumulative Loss Annual consumptive use of water from the Hueco Bolson aquifer for agricultural use Thousands of Acre-Feet
HBCumLossV2 Hueco Bolson Urban Cumulative Loss Annual consumptive use of water from the Hueco Bolson aquifer for urban use Thousands of Acre-Feet
HBRechargeCumV2 Hueco Bolson Cumulative Recharge Annual water recharge to the Hueco Bolson Thousands of Acre-Feet
HBUrbanCumV2 Hueco Bolson Urban Cumulative Loss Annual consumptive use of water from the Hueco Bolson aquifer for urban use Thousands of Acre-Feet
LocalNetDepthV2 Net Local Depth Net local reservoir depth derived from Precipitation + Runoff - Evaporation Feet
MAAAgV2 Mesilla Alluvial Cumulative loss from Agriculture Annual consumptive use of water from the Mesilla shallow depth aquifer for agricultural use Thousands of Acre-Feet
MAACumLossV2 Mesilla Alluvial Total Cumulative Loss Total consumptive water use from the Mesilla shallow depth aquifer from both urban and agricultural sectors Thousands of Acre-Feet
MAARechargeV2 Mesilla Alluvial Cumulative Recharge Annual water recharge to the Mesilla shallow depth aquifer Thousands of Acre-Feet
MIDAAgV2 Mesilla Intermediate Cumulative Agricultural Loss Annual consumptive use of water from the Mesilla intermediate and deep aquifer for agricultural use Thousands of Acre-Feet
MIDACumLossV2 Mesilla Intermediate Total Cumulative Loss Annual consumptive use of water from the Mesilla intermediate and deep aquifer from both urban and agricultural sectors Thousands of Acre-Feet
MIDARechargeV2 Mesilla Intermediate Cumulative Recharge Annual water recharge to the Mesilla intermediate and deep depth aquifer Thousands of Acre-Feet
MIDAUrbanV2 Mesilla Intermediate Cumulative Urban Loss Annual consumptive use of water from the Mesilla intermediate and deep aquifer for urban use Thousands of Acre-Feet
NetLocalV2 Net Local Reservoir Flows Net local reservoir flows derived from Precipitation + Runoff - Evaporation Acre-Feet
ResSEvapV2_af Rio Grande Project Storage Evaporation Water loss due to evaporation from open water surface storage locations which includes Elephant Butte and Caballo reservoirs Acre-Feet
ResSPrecipV2_af Rio Grande Project Storage Precipitation Average local precipitation at storage locations which includes Elephant Butte and Caballo reservoirs Acre-Feet
SWEvapV2_ft Surface Water Evaporation Depth Depth of water loss due to evaporation from open water surface storage locations which includes Elephant Butte and Caballo reservoirs Feet


Contacts

Alex Mayer
The University of Texas at El Paso
amayer2@utep.edu

Robyn Holmes
Michigan Technological University
rnholmes@mtu.edu

Luis Garnica
The University of Texas at El Paso
lagarnicachavira@utep.edu

Sponsored by US Dept of Agriculture: 5 yr project 2015 - 2020